Hypothesis Testing: Significance, Effect Size, and Power

3 important questions on Hypothesis Testing: Significance, Effect Size, and Power

When testing a hypothesis we are trying to collect evidence of whether the null hypothesis is unlikely to be true.
Why do we do this?

  • Falsificationism.
    • It's easier to prove that something is wrong than to prove that something is right.
  • We can never prove the alternative hypothesis directly about the population.
    • We can only show the likelihood of the null hypothesis being false.

When we use the z-test for significance testing, there are two decisions that directly affect the critical z value.
Can you name them?

  • The level of significance (⍺).
  • Whether your alternative hypothesis is directional, non-directional.
    • E.g., Directional H1 > 6; non-directional H1 ≠ 6.
    • If ⍺ = 0.05 (5%), you search in the z-table for z=0.05 when H1 is directional, but for z=0.025 when it is non-directional.
      • Because for non-directional, we have to take into account that the score might be situated above, but also below 6.

Your alternative hypothesis may be directional or non-directional.
When you opt for a directional hypothesis, what criterium must be fulfilled?

  • You need to have prior evidence that the hypothesis may be directional.
    • I.e., you have prior evidence that H1 may be higher/lower than H0.

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